Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.980798 1.199539 1.433842 1.701316 1.996136 2.309285 2.665189
2024-10-13 0.679923 0.970293 1.307115 1.717384 2.195113 2.726340 3.354522
2024-10-20 0.499328 0.810952 1.196001 1.687616 2.281710 2.961932 3.785932
2024-10-27 0.435957 0.782734 1.231770 1.824138 2.557770 3.413539 4.465743
2024-11-03 0.383164 0.755593 1.258634 1.941063 2.803511 3.824677 5.095026
2024-11-10 0.339809 0.733127 1.285530 2.053671 3.041407 4.225631 5.713089
2024-11-17 0.304138 0.715155 1.313657 2.164360 3.274759 4.620229 6.323878
2024-11-24 0.255813 0.668519 1.295719 2.209642 3.422411 4.908870 6.807291
2024-12-01 0.205632 0.608966 1.252332 2.215296 3.515436 5.127869 7.205189
2024-12-08 0.149515 0.525558 1.164210 2.151976 3.513142 5.224416 7.451052
2024-12-15 0.105152 0.451745 1.082034 2.090024 3.507267 5.312521 7.683578
2024-12-22 0.076005 0.400381 1.029445 2.065560 3.547492 5.455855 7.981731
2024-12-29 0.056799 0.368409 1.010483 2.096068 3.671827 5.719845 8.448103
2025-01-05 0.038321 0.328964 0.974049 2.098102 3.756828 5.934668 8.856260
2025-01-12 0.022460 0.284583 0.921603 2.070186 3.796017 6.086819 9.182901
2025-01-19 0.021708 0.298195 0.981745 2.221843 4.091137 6.577098 9.941277
2025-01-26 0.019763 0.305551 1.029357 2.353731 4.358827 7.032344 10.656701
2025-02-02 0.017644 0.310941 1.072916 2.479455 4.618521 7.478243 11.361954
2025-02-09 0.015629 0.315667 1.114993 2.603094 4.875952 7.922238 12.066348
2025-02-16 0.010762 0.299840 1.112837 2.653521 5.027619 8.226104 12.592328
2025-02-23 0.005786 0.273492 1.085166 2.659831 5.114214 8.442801 13.006609
2025-03-02 0.001465 0.230458 1.014244 2.589259 5.085473 8.503086 13.218298
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.192323 0.947036 2.520131 5.055387 8.559094 13.422612